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Red136
239953.2
414564.9
871328.3
Blue93
1058214.5
408523.8
67728.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161785010015020025013693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+39Teleop
+59Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave6
6Coral scored#0
28Coral points0
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +8
11Coral scored#15
41Coral points53
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
75Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#18
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points16
136Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.8
65.464.6
Auto18.1
Teleop41.2
End5.6
red by 36.3
677
#30
28.50.6
30.329.7
Auto5.2
Teleop18.4
End4.9
Second
2399
#11
53.20.8
42.641.8
Auto9.9
Teleop35.4
End7.9
red by 29.4
4085
#34
23.80.6
28.828.2
Auto2.5
Teleop19.4
End1.9
Third
8713
#13
28.31.3
28.427.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End9.9
red by 13.9
14.50.6
15.915.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned