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Red153
716529.2
954512.0
178763.5
Blue66
913913.5
140549.1
12026.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110995015020015366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+13Teleop
+21Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +16
10Coral scored#6
37Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
51Total teleop35
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
72Foul points6
153Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.51.1
59.158.0
Auto13.7
Teleop38.6
End11.2
red by 14.5
1405
#25
49.12.0
48.446.4
Auto9.7
Teleop31.5
End7.8
Second
7165
#26
29.21.1
29.328.2
Auto4.4
Teleop23.8
End1.0
red by 2.8
120
#37
26.42.0
30.028.0
Auto2.3
Teleop20.3
End3.7
Third
9545
#48
12.01.1
9.28.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End2.5
blue by 1.5
9139
#54
13.53.4
11.88.5
Auto3.6
Teleop7.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsMissed