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Qual 602025 Buckeye Regional
Red22
871812.3
964311.3
788521.5
Blue80
824333.2
405018.8
618125.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions519501502002280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+56
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +56
3Coral scored#11
9Coral points41
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
0Processor points12
0Net points12
0Algae points24
9Total teleop65
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points0
22Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7885
#39
21.53.3
24.0→20.7
Auto4.3
Teleop14.2
End2.9
blue by 11.7
8243
#21
33.20.3
33.1→32.7
Auto5.8
Teleop24.1
End3.3
Second
8718
#55
12.33.3
11.3→8.1
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End1.7
blue by 13.1
6181
#10
25.50.5
29.9→29.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.8
End7.0
Third
9643
#35
11.32.0
13.4→11.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.3
End1.4
blue by 7.6
4050
#33
18.80.3
18.9→18.6
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsMissed