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Red57
408523.8
574050.3
12811.7
Blue143
460123.3
962221.1
69573.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121185010015020057143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+82
Endgame+80
Fouls+86
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +75
5Coral scored#16
17Coral points58
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
0Processor points18
8Net points24
8Algae points42
25Total teleop100
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#7
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +86
0Foul points6
57Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.33.3
49.145.8
Auto15.6
Teleop25.5
End9.1
blue by 23.4
695
#15
73.81.6
63.765.3
Auto19.2
Teleop47.1
End7.5
Second
4085
#34
23.83.3
28.224.9
Auto2.5
Teleop19.4
End1.9
red by 0.5
4601
#20
23.31.6
20.922.5
Auto3.0
Teleop17.6
End2.8
Third
128
#52
11.75.5
21.415.9
Auto2.4
Teleop7.0
End2.3
blue by 9.4
9622
#28
21.11.6
20.221.7
Auto2.5
Teleop15.3
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned