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Red107
871328.3
12026.4
814021.2
Blue123
217234.2
460123.3
412139.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74105050150200107123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+14
Endgame+4
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +13
14Coral scored#14
52Coral points49
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
66Total teleop79
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points12
107Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8713
#13
28.32.3
25.527.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End9.9
blue by 11.1
39.40.4
38.338.8
Auto8.8
Teleop22.9
End7.7
Second
120
#37
26.41.5
28.029.4
Auto2.3
Teleop20.3
End3.7
blue by 7.8
2172
#23
34.20.4
29.329.8
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End1.9
Third
8140
#43
21.21.5
17.719.2
Auto4.6
Teleop13.1
End3.4
blue by 2.1
4601
#20
23.30.4
22.522.9
Auto3.0
Teleop17.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned