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Red185
69573.8
574050.3
965313.2
Blue197
222862.2
130830.9
239953.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148152120130140160170180190185197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points17
47Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +33
19Coral scored#25
70Coral points91
4Processor algae#4
5Net algae#8
24Processor points24
20Net points32
44Algae points56
114Total teleop147
Reef
9L4#9
9L3#10
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
185Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#15
73.82.6
65.367.9
Auto19.2
Teleop47.1
End7.5
red by 11.5
62.22.7
55.758.4
Auto13.7
Teleop39.5
End9.0
Second
50.32.6
45.848.4
Auto15.6
Teleop25.5
End9.1
blue by 2.9
2399
#11
53.22.7
45.548.2
Auto9.9
Teleop35.4
End7.9
Third
9653
#29
13.24.0
14.118.1
Auto2.3
Teleop7.7
End3.3
blue by 17.7
1308
#17
30.92.7
29.031.7
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned