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Red100
319325.8
408523.8
962221.1
Blue119
301560.2
824333.2
976717.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75141050100150200100119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+1
Endgame+17
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +13
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points57
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
84Total teleop71
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points2
100Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3193
#32
25.80.8
22.923.6
Auto6.6
Teleop17.7
End1.5
blue by 34.4
3015
#22
60.21.2
66.064.8
Auto14.0
Teleop36.2
End9.9
Second
4085
#34
23.80.8
24.925.6
Auto2.5
Teleop19.4
End1.9
blue by 9.3
8243
#21
33.21.2
32.731.6
Auto5.8
Teleop24.1
End3.3
Third
9622
#28
21.10.8
21.722.5
Auto2.5
Teleop15.3
End3.3
red by 4.0
9767
#45
17.21.2
15.414.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned