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Qual 842025 Buckeye Regional
Red103
12026.4
319325.8
377711.1
Blue149
696437.2
317371.4
405018.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions581530100200250103149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+36
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +35
6Leave3
2Coral scored#10
10Coral points48
16Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +1
15Coral scored#18
55Coral points66
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
83Total teleop84
Reef
5L4#11
6L3#7
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
103Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#37
26.42.1
29.4→31.5
Auto2.3
Teleop20.3
End3.7
blue by 45.0
3173
#8
71.40.8
73.5→74.3
Auto18.7
Teleop42.2
End10.5
Second
3193
#32
25.82.1
23.6→25.7
Auto6.6
Teleop17.7
End1.5
blue by 11.4
6964
#7
37.20.8
32.9→33.7
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End8.2
Third
3777
#53
11.13.0
7.8→10.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.5
End0.6
blue by 7.7
4050
#33
18.80.8
19.4→20.2
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned