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Red107
348420.5
217234.2
395423.6
Blue109
140549.1
1030323.7
408523.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86113050100150200107109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+12Teleop
0Endgame0
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave3
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +6
15Coral scored#17
53Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
75Total teleop81
Reef
9L4#6
7L3#5
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points2
107Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2172
#23
34.21.8
29.831.5
Auto7.6
Teleop24.7
End1.9
blue by 14.8
1405
#25
49.10.3
47.748.0
Auto9.7
Teleop31.5
End7.8
Second
3954
#42
23.62.6
21.524.1
Auto5.8
Teleop16.9
End0.9
blue by 0.2
4085
#34
23.80.3
25.625.9
Auto2.5
Teleop19.4
End1.9
Third
3484
#56
20.51.8
23.925.7
Auto4.3
Teleop13.8
End2.5
blue by 3.1
23.70.5
22.823.3
Auto3.5
Teleop17.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned