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Red78
348420.5
12026.4
317371.4
Blue102
319325.8
499137.3
822220.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157855010020025078102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+30
Endgame+28
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +16
13Coral scored#15
47Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
57Total teleop73
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#7
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points2
78Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.45.1
74.369.2
Auto18.7
Teleop42.2
End10.5
red by 34.1
4991
#12
37.30.1
35.835.9
Auto8.1
Teleop28.0
End1.2
Second
120
#37
26.45.1
31.526.4
Auto2.3
Teleop20.3
End3.7
red by 0.6
3193
#32
25.80.1
25.725.8
Auto6.6
Teleop17.7
End1.5
Third
3484
#56
20.55.1
25.720.5
Auto4.3
Teleop13.8
End2.5
Level
8222
#18
20.60.1
20.520.6
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed