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Red72
408523.8
130830.9
919421.5
Blue115
976717.2
696437.2
29126.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1059440608012014016072115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+33
Endgame+45
Fouls+43
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +22
11Coral scored#15
39Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
57Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#4
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +43
2Foul points0
72Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1308
#17
30.92.1
31.429.2
Auto5.2
Teleop24.3
End1.4
blue by 6.3
37.21.8
33.735.6
Auto11.2
Teleop17.8
End8.2
Second
4085
#34
23.82.1
25.923.8
Auto2.5
Teleop19.4
End1.9
blue by 2.2
291
#49
26.02.4
23.626.0
Auto2.1
Teleop23.3
End0.6
Third
9194
#46
21.52.1
23.621.5
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.8
red by 4.3
9767
#45
17.21.8
15.317.2
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned