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Red90
965313.2
460123.3
140549.1
Blue69
871812.3
1058214.5
4841.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102790501502002509069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +23
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
62Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
90Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1405
#25
49.10.0
48.047.9
Auto9.7
Teleop31.5
End7.8
red by 7.8
48
#24
41.20.4
42.642.2
Auto7.2
Teleop26.9
End7.1
Second
4601
#20
23.30.0
23.423.3
Auto3.0
Teleop17.6
End2.8
red by 8.8
14.50.4
14.914.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End2.7
Third
9653
#29
13.20.1
13.313.2
Auto2.3
Teleop7.7
End3.3
red by 0.9
8718
#55
12.30.6
12.912.3
Auto2.3
Teleop8.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned