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Red195
317371.4
954512.0
461176.4
Blue139
301560.2
716529.2
414564.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178172140160200220195139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+44Teleop
+54Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points24
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +34
24Coral scored#20
87Coral points71
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
129Total teleop95
Reef
13L4#10
8L3#8
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +56
2Foul points0
195Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.40.8
75.876.5
Auto19.4
Teleop48.5
End8.5
red by 11.5
64.90.4
65.164.8
Auto18.1
Teleop41.2
End5.6
Second
71.40.8
70.871.6
Auto18.7
Teleop42.2
End10.5
red by 11.2
3015
#22
60.20.4
60.460.1
Auto14.0
Teleop36.2
End9.9
Third
9545
#48
12.00.8
11.412.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End2.5
blue by 17.2
7165
#26
29.20.4
29.529.1
Auto4.4
Teleop23.8
End1.0