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Red160
301560.2
716529.2
414564.9
Blue200
69573.8
178763.5
155931.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168175120140160200220240160200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+8
Endgame+30
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave3
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points34
20Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +9
23Coral scored#23
82Coral points81
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
18Processor points18
24Net points16
42Algae points34
124Total teleop115
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#10
9L2#6
5L1 · trough#6
36Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +40
2Foul points12
160Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.1
64.864.9
Auto18.1
Teleop41.2
End5.6
blue by 8.9
695
#15
73.80.5
72.372.8
Auto19.2
Teleop47.1
End7.5
Second
3015
#22
60.20.1
60.160.2
Auto14.0
Teleop36.2
End9.9
blue by 3.4
63.50.5
62.062.6
Auto13.7
Teleop38.6
End11.2
Third
7165
#26
29.20.1
29.129.2
Auto4.4
Teleop23.8
End1.0
blue by 2.0
1559
#19
31.20.5
29.830.3
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End6.8