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Red207
317371.4
954512.0
461176.4
Blue121
4841.2
618125.5
871328.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18410950150200250207121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+110Teleop
+100Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
0Leave0
10Coral scored#2
51Coral points9
51Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +68
21Coral scored#12
74Coral points42
5Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
30Processor points6
20Net points8
50Algae points14
124Total teleop56
Reef
10L4#4
13L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
41Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +86
6Foul points20
207Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.40.7
74.174.8
Auto19.4
Teleop48.5
End8.5
red by 35.1
48
#24
41.20.4
42.241.8
Auto7.2
Teleop26.9
End7.1
Second
71.40.7
69.269.8
Auto18.7
Teleop42.2
End10.5
red by 43.0
8713
#13
28.30.4
29.428.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.8
End9.9
Third
9545
#48
12.00.7
9.810.4
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End2.5
blue by 13.5
6181
#10
25.50.5
26.626.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.8
End7.0