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Red184
402871.0
34071.2
43221.9
Blue161
791723.2
278354.6
150764.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183152100200250184161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+11Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
8Coral scored#8
42Coral points38
51Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +7
22Coral scored#22
79Coral points78
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
107Total teleop100
Reef
14L4#11
9L3#7
4L2#8
3L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#35
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
184Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#4
71.20.3
70.971.2
Auto19.2
Teleop42.8
End9.2
red by 6.9
64.40.3
64.164.4
Auto12.2
Teleop43.4
End8.8
Second
71.00.3
70.671.0
Auto21.0
Teleop43.0
End7.0
red by 16.3
2783
#12
54.60.3
54.354.6
Auto18.8
Teleop27.0
End8.9
Third
432
#34
21.90.3
21.521.9
Auto3.8
Teleop12.7
End5.3
blue by 1.4
7917
#33
23.20.3
22.923.2
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End4.6