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Red185
402871.0
34071.2
43221.9
Blue142
791723.2
278354.6
150764.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182154100200250185142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+59Teleop
+49Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave0
8Coral scored#7
42Coral points33
51Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +41
19Coral scored#16
68Coral points57
5Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
30Processor points12
20Net points8
50Algae points20
118Total teleop77
Reef
11L4#9
6L3#5
4L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points6
185Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#4
71.20.4
70.570.9
Auto19.2
Teleop42.8
End9.2
red by 6.9
64.40.3
64.464.1
Auto12.2
Teleop43.4
End8.8
Second
71.00.4
70.270.6
Auto21.0
Teleop43.0
End7.0
red by 16.3
2783
#12
54.60.3
54.654.3
Auto18.8
Teleop27.0
End8.9
Third
432
#34
21.90.4
21.121.5
Auto3.8
Teleop12.7
End5.3
blue by 1.4
7917
#33
23.20.3
23.222.9
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End4.6