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Red176
791723.2
278354.6
150764.4
Blue141
493032.1
201050.4
581141.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156133100200176141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+13Teleop
+23Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave9
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points17
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +2
20Coral scored#20
71Coral points71
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
95Total teleop93
Reef
11L4#10
9L3#7
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +35
18Foul points6
176Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.40.1
64.364.4
Auto12.2
Teleop43.4
End8.8
red by 14.0
50.40.0
50.450.4
Auto9.3
Teleop34.8
End6.3
Second
2783
#12
54.60.1
54.554.6
Auto18.8
Teleop27.0
End8.9
red by 12.9
41.70.0
41.741.7
Auto9.0
Teleop27.8
End5.0
Third
7917
#33
23.20.1
23.123.2
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End4.6
blue by 8.9
4930
#27
32.10.0
32.132.1
Auto7.1
Teleop23.0
End1.9