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Red137
150764.4
909723.9
319315.2
Blue136
493032.1
791723.2
432942.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105936080100120140160137136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+1
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave6
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points21
29Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +3
15Coral scored#16
54Coral points59
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
18Processor points12
20Net points24
38Algae points36
92Total teleop95
Reef
9L4#9
6L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
137Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.42.9
51.254.1
Auto12.2
Teleop43.4
End8.8
red by 21.6
4329
#10
42.83.1
36.139.1
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End1.1
Second
9097
#13
23.92.6
15.317.9
Auto4.8
Teleop15.5
End3.6
blue by 8.2
4930
#27
32.13.4
21.124.5
Auto7.1
Teleop23.0
End1.9
Third
3193
#41
15.23.9
24.328.2
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End2.6
blue by 8.1
7917
#33
23.22.7
26.429.1
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsEarned