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Red172
381419.8
34071.2
201050.4
Blue98
79033.6
408524.2
32547.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125725010015020017298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+54Teleop
+74Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
23Coral scored#17
81Coral points61
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
115Total teleop85
Reef
12L4#8
6L3#3
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#23
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points0
172Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#4
71.24.4
59.764.1
Auto19.2
Teleop42.8
End9.2
red by 23.7
325
#5
47.51.2
42.743.9
Auto7.0
Teleop35.5
End5.1
Second
50.44.9
36.941.8
Auto9.3
Teleop34.8
End6.3
red by 26.2
4085
#43
24.22.1
24.026.1
Auto2.2
Teleop21.4
End0.5
Third
3814
#17
19.83.6
9.613.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.7
End4.1
red by 16.2
7903
#44
3.61.5
1.63.1
Auto2.8
Teleop0.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsMissed