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Red104
14440.9
54719.9
101419.2
Blue158
402871.0
549239.1
581141.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7714850100200104158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+25
Teleop+36
Endgame+36
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +25
6Leave3
2Coral scored#8
10Coral points38
16Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +11
14Coral scored#18
50Coral points63
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
74Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#9
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points18
104Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#18
40.90.9
32.433.3
Auto6.3
Teleop28.0
End6.5
blue by 30.1
71.00.1
65.065.1
Auto21.0
Teleop43.0
End7.0
Second
547
#35
19.91.5
20.522.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End4.5
blue by 21.8
41.70.2
29.129.3
Auto9.0
Teleop27.8
End5.0
Third
1014
#30
19.21.5
20.221.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.1
blue by 19.9
39.10.2
27.427.6
Auto5.6
Teleop26.3
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned