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Red52
136921.3
45127.0
907519.2
Blue120
630220.1
751537.3
225242.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810320406012014016052120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+72
Endgame+68
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +51
6Coral scored#19
23Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
37Total teleop88
Reef
3L4#8
1L3#7
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#5
10Game pieces#29
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points0
52Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
451
#29
27.01.7
25.223.5
Auto4.0
Teleop21.5
End1.5
blue by 15.8
2252
#39
42.82.7
38.441.1
Auto12.1
Teleop30.6
End0.1
Second
1369
#45
21.31.7
23.521.8
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End3.0
blue by 16.0
7515
#14
37.32.5
27.530.0
Auto7.4
Teleop25.8
End4.1
Third
9075
#42
19.22.3
18.015.7
Auto1.8
Teleop13.3
End4.1
blue by 0.9
6302
#21
20.12.0
20.522.5
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed