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Red139
752522.1
332420.5
150764.4
Blue96
966816.5
907519.2
34071.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061049010011012013013996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+35Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +28
19Coral scored#14
70Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
102Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
139Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.43.0
48.251.2
Auto12.2
Teleop43.4
End8.8
blue by 6.9
340
#4
71.21.0
60.759.7
Auto19.2
Teleop42.8
End9.2
Second
7525
#20
22.12.2
27.029.3
Auto7.6
Teleop12.8
End1.7
red by 2.9
9075
#42
19.21.2
19.218.0
Auto1.8
Teleop13.3
End4.1
Third
3324
#38
20.53.7
21.224.9
Auto4.2
Teleop15.4
End0.9
red by 3.9
9668
#19
16.51.2
15.113.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsMissed