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Red44
319315.2
822214.8
313819.7
Blue94
255627.4
45127.0
751537.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688302040601001201404494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+34
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +28
7Coral scored#12
24Coral points42
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
0Processor points6
12Net points16
12Algae points22
36Total teleop64
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +16
2Cage & park18
2Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
44Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
#36
19.71.5
11.710.2
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End2.6
blue by 17.6
7515
#14
37.31.8
25.827.5
Auto7.4
Teleop25.8
End4.1
Second
3193
#41
15.22.2
26.524.3
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End2.6
blue by 12.2
2556
#26
27.41.8
16.318.1
Auto3.5
Teleop17.9
End5.9
Third
8222
#32
14.82.2
17.315.1
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End3.4
blue by 12.2
451
#29
27.01.8
23.425.2
Auto4.0
Teleop21.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsEarned