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Red89
414561.4
814511.2
751611.9
Blue124
909723.9
32547.5
907519.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048940608012014016018089124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+37
Endgame+47
Fouls+35
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +51
9Coral scored#16
33Coral points56
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#5
6Processor points18
4Net points20
10Algae points38
43Total teleop94
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#4
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
12Foul points0
89Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.40.8
51.650.8
Auto17.6
Teleop38.4
End5.5
red by 13.9
325
#5
47.53.1
43.947.0
Auto7.0
Teleop35.5
End5.1
Second
7516
#28
11.91.2
17.816.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End1.5
blue by 12.0
9097
#13
23.93.1
17.921.0
Auto4.8
Teleop15.5
End3.6
Third
8145
#46
11.21.2
18.317.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 8.0
9075
#42
19.25.2
15.720.9
Auto1.8
Teleop13.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned