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Red71
332420.5
381419.8
43221.9
Blue69
693614.3
751537.3
976715.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66645055607075807169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
8Coral scored#7
29Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
39Total teleop44
Reef
2L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
6Foul points0
71Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
432
#34
21.90.7
13.314.0
Auto3.8
Teleop12.7
End5.3
blue by 15.4
7515
#14
37.31.1
30.031.1
Auto7.4
Teleop25.8
End4.1
Second
3324
#38
20.51.1
28.629.7
Auto4.2
Teleop15.4
End0.9
red by 5.3
9767
#40
15.11.1
10.211.2
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.9
Third
3814
#17
19.80.7
13.213.9
Auto4.1
Teleop11.7
End4.1
red by 5.6
6936
#47
14.31.6
14.616.2
Auto3.2
Teleop8.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned