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Red185
320148.2
14440.9
34071.2
Blue105
319315.2
959741.6
696428.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15610650200185105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+78Teleop
+88Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
7Coral scored#4
35Coral points20
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +57
23Coral scored#12
81Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
12Processor points6
24Net points12
36Algae points18
117Total teleop60
Reef
10L4#7
9L3#4
5L2#3
6L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points8
185Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#4
71.23.1
64.167.3
Auto19.2
Teleop42.8
End9.2
red by 29.7
9597
#11
41.60.7
42.241.6
Auto7.0
Teleop32.3
End2.3
Second
48.22.8
42.044.9
Auto10.8
Teleop28.5
End8.9
red by 19.7
6964
#16
28.50.9
28.327.4
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End5.8
Third
144
#18
40.92.8
33.336.2
Auto6.3
Teleop28.0
End6.5
red by 25.7
3193
#41
15.20.9
28.227.3
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned