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Red60
131718.0
101419.2
278354.6
Blue65
12025.6
603227.8
566716.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11075501001506065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +18
5Coral scored#9
18Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
26Total teleop44
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points2
60Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
#12
54.62.6
50.748.1
Auto18.8
Teleop27.0
End8.9
red by 26.9
6032
#15
27.81.1
18.016.9
Auto6.4
Teleop16.9
End4.4
Second
1014
#30
19.24.3
21.717.4
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.1
blue by 6.5
120
#24
25.61.1
30.929.8
Auto3.0
Teleop19.7
End2.9
Third
1317
#37
18.04.3
21.216.9
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End0.5
red by 1.0
5667
#25
16.90.7
18.117.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed