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Red122
103818.4
493032.1
402871.0
Blue95
34071.2
1001122.2
822214.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143116608010016018020022012295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+35Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
5Coral scored#5
25Coral points23
34Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +24
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points34
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
82Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#5
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
122Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.00.1
66.566.5
Auto21.0
Teleop43.0
End7.0
blue by 0.3
340
#4
71.20.6
67.366.7
Auto19.2
Teleop42.8
End9.2
Second
4930
#27
32.10.1
26.726.8
Auto7.1
Teleop23.0
End1.9
red by 9.9
22.20.6
19.218.5
Auto5.0
Teleop15.3
End1.8
Third
1038
#31
18.40.1
24.924.9
Auto3.7
Teleop14.4
End0.4
red by 3.6
8222
#32
14.81.0
15.314.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned