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Red113
201050.4
752522.1
696428.5
Blue68
45127.0
693614.3
332420.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119795010015020011368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+33Teleop
+35Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +19
16Coral scored#8
57Coral points30
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
69Total teleop50
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
12Foul points2
113Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.40.8
44.243.4
Auto9.3
Teleop34.8
End6.3
red by 23.4
451
#29
27.01.0
25.724.8
Auto4.0
Teleop21.5
End1.5
Second
6964
#16
28.51.2
27.426.2
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End5.8
red by 8.1
3324
#38
20.51.6
29.728.1
Auto4.2
Teleop15.4
End0.9
Third
7525
#20
22.10.7
29.228.5
Auto7.6
Teleop12.8
End1.7
red by 7.9
6936
#47
14.31.6
16.214.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed