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Red192
150764.4
43221.9
14440.9
Blue86
814511.2
136921.3
255627.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136725010015020019286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+86Teleop
+106Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave0
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +69
24Coral scored#17
87Coral points60
4Processor algae#1
8Net algae#2
24Processor points6
32Net points8
56Algae points14
143Total teleop74
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#6
8L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#21
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
0Foul points0
192Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.44.0
57.461.4
Auto12.2
Teleop43.4
End8.8
red by 37.0
2556
#26
27.40.1
23.823.7
Auto3.5
Teleop17.9
End5.9
Second
144
#18
40.94.0
36.240.2
Auto6.3
Teleop28.0
End6.5
red by 19.5
1369
#45
21.30.1
22.222.2
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End3.0
Third
432
#34
21.94.0
14.018.0
Auto3.8
Teleop12.7
End5.3
red by 10.7
8145
#46
11.20.1
17.217.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed