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Red106
414561.4
131718.0
12025.6
Blue36
381419.8
408524.2
630220.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1137005010015020010636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+58Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +54
15Coral scored#5
55Coral points19
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
12Processor points6
12Net points0
24Algae points6
79Total teleop25
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#7
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points0
106Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.40.6
50.851.3
Auto17.6
Teleop38.4
End5.5
red by 37.2
4085
#43
24.23.2
30.627.3
Auto2.2
Teleop21.4
End0.5
Second
120
#24
25.61.0
29.830.7
Auto3.0
Teleop19.7
End2.9
red by 5.5
6302
#21
20.11.9
20.718.8
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End2.2
Third
1317
#37
18.01.0
16.917.8
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End0.5
blue by 1.9
3814
#17
19.81.9
13.911.9
Auto4.1
Teleop11.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed