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Red89
54719.9
751537.3
1001122.2
Blue98
101419.2
320148.2
319315.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77108501502008998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#13
45Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
67Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#6
2L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +6
6Cage & park12
6Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
89Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7515
#14
37.31.2
31.132.2
Auto7.4
Teleop25.8
End4.1
blue by 10.9
48.20.2
44.945.0
Auto10.8
Teleop28.5
End8.9
Second
22.21.2
18.519.7
Auto5.0
Teleop15.3
End1.8
red by 3.0
1014
#30
19.20.3
17.417.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.1
Third
547
#35
19.91.9
19.020.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End4.5
red by 4.7
3193
#41
15.20.3
27.327.6
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsMissed