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Red67
432942.8
603227.8
822214.8
Blue27
566716.9
907519.2
791723.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88742040601001201401606727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+54Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave3
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +34
9Coral scored#2
32Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
42Total teleop8
Reef
3L4#1
5L3#1
3L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
67Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#10
42.80.4
42.141.7
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End1.1
red by 19.5
7917
#33
23.22.6
27.324.7
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End4.6
Second
6032
#15
27.80.7
16.916.2
Auto6.4
Teleop16.9
End4.4
red by 8.5
9075
#42
19.24.3
20.916.6
Auto1.8
Teleop13.3
End4.1
Third
8222
#32
14.80.7
14.313.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End3.4
blue by 2.1
5667
#25
16.92.6
17.314.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned