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Red158
549239.1
34071.2
909723.9
Blue139
278354.6
201050.4
136921.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131129100120140160180158139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points18
26Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +22
17Coral scored#18
62Coral points66
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
12Processor points6
32Net points12
44Algae points18
106Total teleop84
Reef
7L4#10
5L3#8
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points2
158Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#4
71.22.6
66.769.2
Auto19.2
Teleop42.8
End9.2
red by 16.6
2783
#12
54.61.6
48.149.7
Auto18.8
Teleop27.0
End8.9
Second
39.12.6
30.633.2
Auto5.6
Teleop26.3
End7.1
blue by 11.3
50.41.6
43.445.0
Auto9.3
Teleop34.8
End6.3
Third
9097
#13
23.92.6
22.425.0
Auto4.8
Teleop15.5
End3.6
red by 2.6
1369
#45
21.31.6
22.223.7
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
32%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned