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Red85
907519.2
549239.1
630220.1
Blue50
976715.1
103818.4
319315.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88742040601001201401608550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+17Teleop
+29Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +13
8Coral scored#5
30Coral points17
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
38Total teleop25
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
18Foul points12
85Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.2
33.733.5
Auto5.6
Teleop26.3
End7.1
red by 20.7
1038
#31
18.41.6
21.219.5
Auto3.7
Teleop14.4
End0.4
Second
6302
#21
20.10.2
19.919.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End2.2
red by 4.9
3193
#41
15.22.7
26.824.0
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End2.6
Third
9075
#42
19.20.3
16.516.1
Auto1.8
Teleop13.3
End4.1
red by 4.1
9767
#40
15.11.6
14.412.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed