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Red123
320148.2
402871.0
822214.8
Blue99
603227.8
752522.1
32547.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148975020012399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+10Teleop
+20Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points16
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +1
11Coral scored#12
41Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
55Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#5
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
12Foul points8
123Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.01.4
68.867.4
Auto21.0
Teleop43.0
End7.0
red by 23.5
325
#5
47.50.5
45.344.8
Auto7.0
Teleop35.5
End5.1
Second
48.21.4
44.843.4
Auto10.8
Teleop28.5
End8.9
red by 20.4
6032
#15
27.80.8
18.217.4
Auto6.4
Teleop16.9
End4.4
Third
8222
#32
14.82.4
11.08.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.1
End3.4
blue by 7.3
7525
#20
22.10.5
25.725.2
Auto7.6
Teleop12.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned