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Red105
101419.2
751611.9
150764.4
Blue68
43221.9
408524.2
313819.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1126705010015020010568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+31Teleop
+39Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
14Coral scored#10
51Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
75Total teleop51
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#2
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#14
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points2
105Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.40.3
61.261.6
Auto12.2
Teleop43.4
End8.8
red by 40.2
4085
#43
24.20.2
24.724.5
Auto2.2
Teleop21.4
End0.5
Second
1014
#30
19.20.6
15.115.6
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.1
blue by 2.7
432
#34
21.90.1
16.416.3
Auto3.8
Teleop12.7
End5.3
Third
7516
#28
11.90.6
12.413.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End1.5
blue by 7.8
3138
#36
19.70.1
15.515.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed