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Red59
415020.8
332420.5
432942.8
Blue118
225242.8
278354.6
381419.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9812040608014016018020059118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+42
Teleop+49
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +42
3Leave3
1Coral scored#9
3Coral points45
6Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +7
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
0Processor points6
12Net points16
12Algae points22
49Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#7
4L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points0
59Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#10
42.82.1
43.040.9
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End1.1
blue by 11.9
2783
#12
54.60.8
51.452.2
Auto18.8
Teleop27.0
End8.9
Second
4150
#22
20.82.1
19.317.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.6
End5.7
blue by 22.0
2252
#39
42.80.8
41.141.8
Auto12.1
Teleop30.6
End0.1
Third
3324
#38
20.53.5
28.424.9
Auto4.2
Teleop15.4
End0.9
red by 0.6
3814
#17
19.80.8
14.214.9
Auto4.1
Teleop11.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsEarned