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Red50
566716.9
966816.5
493032.1
Blue58
255627.4
79033.6
14440.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759340601001201405058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+8Teleop
+6Endgame
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
8Coral scored#6
27Coral points23
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
35Total teleop31
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#1
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points14
50Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4930
#27
32.11.0
28.927.9
Auto7.1
Teleop23.0
End1.9
blue by 8.8
144
#18
40.92.1
42.340.2
Auto6.3
Teleop28.0
End6.5
Second
5667
#25
16.91.0
16.115.1
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.6
blue by 10.4
2556
#26
27.42.1
26.023.9
Auto3.5
Teleop17.9
End5.9
Third
9668
#19
16.51.6
17.315.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End2.8
red by 12.9
7903
#44
3.62.1
4.52.4
Auto2.8
Teleop0.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsMissed