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Red94
201050.4
630220.1
566716.9
Blue97
313819.7
751611.9
320148.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94802040601201401601809497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+3Teleop
+5Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +14
12Coral scored#10
42Coral points36
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#4
12Processor points0
12Net points16
24Algae points16
66Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points8
94Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.40.7
48.449.1
Auto9.3
Teleop34.8
End6.3
red by 2.2
48.21.2
43.444.5
Auto10.8
Teleop28.5
End8.9
Second
6302
#21
20.10.7
19.720.4
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End2.2
red by 0.4
3138
#36
19.71.2
15.316.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End2.6
Third
5667
#25
16.90.7
15.115.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.6
red by 5.0
7516
#28
11.91.9
13.014.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned