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Red73
693614.3
549239.1
79033.6
Blue91
630220.1
432942.8
814511.2
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions548702040801001201407391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+24
Endgame+24
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +14
7Coral scored#12
24Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
42Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
12Foul points6
73Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.9
32.833.7
Auto5.6
Teleop26.3
End7.1
blue by 3.7
4329
#10
42.81.1
39.740.8
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End1.1
Second
6936
#47
14.31.4
12.513.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.1
End3.0
blue by 5.8
6302
#21
20.11.1
20.421.5
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End2.2
Third
7903
#44
3.60.9
2.63.5
Auto2.8
Teleop0.6
End0.2
blue by 7.6
8145
#46
11.21.7
8.610.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsEarned