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Red73
791723.2
255627.4
959741.6
Blue105
1001122.2
414561.4
696428.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071185015020073105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave6
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
11Coral scored#13
38Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
48Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
73Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9597
#11
41.61.4
41.039.6
Auto7.0
Teleop32.3
End2.3
blue by 19.8
61.40.2
56.856.9
Auto17.6
Teleop38.4
End5.5
Second
2556
#26
27.41.4
27.025.5
Auto3.5
Teleop17.9
End5.9
blue by 1.2
6964
#16
28.50.3
24.124.4
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End5.8
Third
7917
#33
23.21.4
23.622.2
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End4.6
red by 1.1
22.20.2
18.819.0
Auto5.0
Teleop15.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned