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Red78
45127.0
103818.4
909723.9
Blue118
408524.2
131718.0
320148.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8211220406010012014016078118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+4
Endgame+8
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points14
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +7
10Coral scored#14
37Coral points50
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
67Total teleop60
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points32
78Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
451
#29
27.00.6
28.028.5
Auto4.0
Teleop21.5
End1.5
blue by 21.2
48.20.1
45.945.7
Auto10.8
Teleop28.5
End8.9
Second
9097
#13
23.90.6
22.923.5
Auto4.8
Teleop15.5
End3.6
blue by 0.3
4085
#43
24.20.2
23.623.4
Auto2.2
Teleop21.4
End0.5
Third
1038
#31
18.40.6
18.619.2
Auto3.7
Teleop14.4
End0.4
red by 0.5
1317
#37
18.00.2
18.618.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed