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Red126
566716.9
32547.5
278354.6
Blue107
493032.1
907519.2
581141.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13188406080100120140160180126107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points14
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +8
14Coral scored#14
52Coral points50
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
80Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#6
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points6
126Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
#12
54.60.7
53.253.9
Auto18.8
Teleop27.0
End8.9
red by 12.9
41.71.5
37.238.7
Auto9.0
Teleop27.8
End5.0
Second
325
#5
47.50.7
46.947.5
Auto7.0
Teleop35.5
End5.1
red by 15.4
4930
#27
32.11.1
28.729.7
Auto7.1
Teleop23.0
End1.9
Third
5667
#25
16.90.7
16.116.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.6
End1.6
blue by 2.3
9075
#42
19.21.5
19.420.9
Auto1.8
Teleop13.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsMissed