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Red101
1001122.2
101419.2
79033.6
Blue138
696428.5
966816.5
136921.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48760204060100120101138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+23
Endgame+33
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +9
18Coral scored#20
66Coral points73
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
84Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#10
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
2Foul points6
101Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.9
19.020.8
Auto5.0
Teleop15.3
End1.8
blue by 6.4
6964
#16
28.54.1
24.428.5
Auto8.3
Teleop14.5
End5.8
Second
1014
#30
19.22.7
15.918.5
Auto4.6
Teleop12.4
End2.1
blue by 2.2
1369
#45
21.32.8
18.020.8
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End3.0
Third
7903
#44
3.61.9
3.55.4
Auto2.8
Teleop0.6
End0.2
blue by 12.9
9668
#19
16.54.1
13.117.1
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned