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Red71
791723.2
381419.8
313819.7
Blue64
14440.9
630220.1
752522.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions601010501507164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
7Coral scored#7
24Coral points25
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
48Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
2Foul points2
71Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7917
#33
23.20.3
22.222.5
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End4.6
blue by 17.6
144
#18
40.92.1
42.240.1
Auto6.3
Teleop28.0
End6.5
Second
3814
#17
19.80.3
18.819.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.7
End4.1
blue by 2.3
7525
#20
22.12.1
24.122.0
Auto7.6
Teleop12.8
End1.7
Third
3138
#36
19.70.3
17.818.0
Auto4.5
Teleop12.6
End2.6
blue by 0.4
6302
#21
20.12.1
21.519.5
Auto4.6
Teleop13.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed57%Barge oddsMissed