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Red116
959741.6
976715.1
12025.6
Blue141
201050.4
150764.4
255627.4
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8116450100150200250116141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+9
Endgame+19
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points23
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +1
18Coral scored#15
64Coral points55
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#4
12Processor points24
20Net points16
32Algae points40
96Total teleop95
Reef
8L4#8
5L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points6
116Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9597
#11
41.61.9
39.641.4
Auto7.0
Teleop32.3
End2.3
blue by 22.8
64.40.8
61.961.1
Auto12.2
Teleop43.4
End8.8
Second
120
#24
25.62.7
27.129.8
Auto3.0
Teleop19.7
End2.9
blue by 24.8
50.40.8
51.150.3
Auto9.3
Teleop34.8
End6.3
Third
9767
#40
15.11.9
13.215.0
Auto3.6
Teleop8.7
End2.9
blue by 12.2
2556
#26
27.40.8
25.524.7
Auto3.5
Teleop17.9
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned