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Red172
43221.9
225242.8
432942.8
Blue190
414561.4
54719.9
34071.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11116350100150200172190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+28
Endgame+40
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
4Coral scored#9
21Coral points44
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +14
24Coral scored#25
88Coral points90
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
106Total teleop120
Reef
10L4#12
7L3#9
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#7
32Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
22Foul points0
172Total score190

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2252
#39
42.82.2
43.345.5
Auto12.1
Teleop30.6
End0.1
blue by 28.4
340
#4
71.22.3
66.568.8
Auto19.2
Teleop42.8
End9.2
Second
4329
#10
42.82.2
40.843.0
Auto9.0
Teleop32.7
End1.1
blue by 18.6
61.42.3
56.959.3
Auto17.6
Teleop38.4
End5.5
Third
432
#34
21.92.2
18.720.9
Auto3.8
Teleop12.7
End5.3
red by 2.0
547
#35
19.93.4
17.921.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned