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Red100
751537.3
408524.2
103818.4
Blue135
909723.9
603227.8
402871.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8114550100200100135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+26
Teleop+21
Endgame+33
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +26
6Leave9
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points26
9Total auto35
TeleoperatedRed +5
17Coral scored#15
61Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
85Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#8
6L3#5
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
2Foul points4
100Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7515
#14
37.30.5
34.735.2
Auto7.4
Teleop25.8
End4.1
blue by 33.7
71.00.2
69.168.9
Auto21.0
Teleop43.0
End7.0
Second
4085
#43
24.20.7
23.424.1
Auto2.2
Teleop21.4
End0.5
blue by 3.6
6032
#15
27.80.3
27.427.1
Auto6.4
Teleop16.9
End4.4
Third
1038
#31
18.40.5
19.219.6
Auto3.7
Teleop14.4
End0.4
blue by 5.5
9097
#13
23.90.2
23.523.3
Auto4.8
Teleop15.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned41%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsEarned